Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Manuel Mazza		Ioannis Xilas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.12	1.74
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.03	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.83)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manuel Mazza
44.9%

Ioannis Xilas
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manuel Mazza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manuel Mazza's form might have worsened.

Ioannis Xilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ioannis Xilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ioannis Xilas than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Manuel Mazza - Ioannis Xilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mazza will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Xilas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Xilas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mazza is ranked ATP: 559. Xilas is ranked ATP: 358.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Ioannis Xilas - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manuel Mazza
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Manuel Mazza - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Francesco Forti - Manuel Mazza	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Andrey Chepelev - Manuel Mazza	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Giammarco Gandolfi - Manuel Mazza	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Michele Mecarelli - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- Ioannis Xilas
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Michael Geerts - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Matthew Donald - Ioannis Xilas	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Henry Searle - Ioannis Xilas	Xilas I. Retired ✺
02.04.26	Louis Dussin - Ioannis Xilas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLW?W

Manuel Mazza - Ioannis Xilas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide