Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lugano 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	15:30	Veikkaus TV


	Giovanni Oradini		Matt Kuhar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.17	4.48	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.37	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)	3.31 ↑ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Oradini
71.6%

Matt Kuhar
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Oradini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Matt Kuhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matt Kuhar than the current prediction. (+2%)

Giovanni Oradini - Matt Kuhar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Oradini is ranked ATP: 666. Kuhar is ranked ATP: 762.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kuhar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Oradini is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oradini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Oradini - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 67.86%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Giovanni Oradini - Gianmarco Ferrari	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Giovanni Oradini - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Mika Brunold - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Giovanni Oradini - Matthew Donald	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Giovanni Oradini - Lorenzo Rottoli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LLWL
- Matt Kuhar
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Ryan Fishback - Matt Kuhar	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Rafael De Alba - Matt Kuhar	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Matt Kuhar - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Finn Bass - Matt Kuhar	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	James Hopper - Matt Kuhar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ITF Tournaments
31.10.26	Giovanni Oradini - Simone Massellani	✺
30.10.26	Manuel Plunger - Giovanni Oradini	✺
- Matt Kuhar
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Jacob Brumm - Matt Kuhar	✺

Giovanni Oradini - Matt Kuhar