Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ESTORIL (PORTUGAL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 April 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Giulio Zeppieri		Joao Sousa

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.58	2.38
	1.57	2.4
	1.61	2.44
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.43	Watch
	1.57	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.81)	2.41 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulio Zeppieri
60.5%

Joao Sousa
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulio Zeppieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giulio Zeppieri's performance.

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Sousa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giulio Zeppieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Sousa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Giulio Zeppieri - Joao Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: Joao Sousa will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Zeppieri is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sousa is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Zeppieri will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Challenger
29.03.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
24.03.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
22.03.23	Chun Hsin Tseng - Giulio Zeppieri	1:2 ✺
21.03.23	Giulio Zeppieri - David Pichler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW
- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
29.03.23	Joao Sousa - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
27.03.23	Joao Sousa - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
13.03.23	Emilio Nava - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.23	Joao Sousa - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
28.02.23	Laslo Djere - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL

Giulio Zeppieri - Joao Sousa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide