Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GIRONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 29 March 2023, Wednesday


	Joao Sousa		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.6	2.28
	1.55	2.51
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.46	2.57	Watch
	1.53	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)	2.41 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Sousa
61.2%

Mariano Navone
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Joao Sousa - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Navone will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sousa: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sousa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Navone is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sousa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
27.03.23	Joao Sousa - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
13.03.23	Emilio Nava - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.23	Joao Sousa - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
28.02.23	Laslo Djere - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.23	Joao Sousa - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
28.03.23	Mariano Navone - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:1 ✺
16.03.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
13.03.23	Mariano Navone - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
06.03.23	Mariano Navone - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.03.23	Eduardo Ribeiro - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Joao Sousa - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide