Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Calgary (Canada), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Goncalo Oliveira		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.33
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.45	1.32
	3.04	1.35	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.33	1.3	Watch
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.26)	1.33 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goncalo Oliveira
29.3%

Liam Draxl
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goncalo Oliveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Goncalo Oliveira's form might have worsened.

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liam Draxl's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goncalo Oliveira than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Goncalo Oliveira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liam Draxl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Goncalo Oliveira - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: Liam Draxl will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Oliveira is ranked ATP: 267. Draxl is ranked ATP: 259.

Recent matches Oliveira is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Draxl in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Draxl could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Draxl is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Draxl to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oliveira won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goncalo Oliveira
ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Learner Tien - Goncalo Oliveira	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Denis Kudla - Goncalo Oliveira	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Alexey Zakharov	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Goncalo Oliveira - Gabriel Diallo	Oliveira G. retired ✺
25.09.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Goncalo Oliveira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LLW?W
- Liam Draxl
ITF Tournaments
13.10.24	Patrick Maloney - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Adhithya Ganesan - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
11.10.24	Alvin Nicholas Tudorica - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Nicaise Muamba - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
08.10.24	Jim Hendrikx - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
05.01.21	Goncalo Oliveira - Liam Draxl	2:1

Goncalo Oliveira - Liam Draxl: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide