Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Trelew, hard

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Carlos Maria Zarate		Lorenzo Gagliardo

	1	2
	1.44	2.54
	1.42	2.65
	1.56	2.44
	1.48	2.44	Watch
	1.54	2.43
	1.47	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.47)	2.49 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Maria Zarate
62.6%

Lorenzo Gagliardo
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Maria Zarate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Lorenzo Gagliardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Gagliardo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Carlos Maria Zarate - Lorenzo Gagliardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zarate is ranked ATP: 385. Gagliardo is ranked ATP: 974.

Now, both players are in good form.

Gagliardo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zarate is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zarate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Maria Zarate
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Felix Corwin	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Valentino Grippo	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Giovanni Branchetti	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Nicolas Bruna	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL
- Lorenzo Gagliardo
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Ivan Dreycopp	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Vito Antonio Darderi	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Francisco Gay	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lorenzo Gagliardo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Carlos Maria Zarate	0:2

Carlos Maria Zarate - Lorenzo Gagliardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide