Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Mateus Alves		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
	1.60	2.20
	1.6	2.2
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.63	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.27)	2.23 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateus Alves
58.2%

Gonzalo Villanueva
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mateus Alves's form might have worsened.

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gonzalo Villanueva's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mateus Alves - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Villanueva will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alves is ranked ATP: 417., and Villanueva is ranked ATP: 329..

Alves is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Villanueva has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Alves may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Alves is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Alves in today's match, at odds of 1.4.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Alves has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Jose Pereira - Mateus Alves	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.09.26	Mateus Alves - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Mateus Alves - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Mateus Alves - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Mateus Alves - Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Guido Ivan Justo	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Vito Antonio Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Mateus Alves	2:1
30.09.24	Mateus Alves - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2
16.09.24	Gonzalo Villanueva - Mateus Alves	0:2

Mateus Alves - Gonzalo Villanueva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide