Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Gonzalo Villanueva		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.27	Watch
	3.62	1.29
	3.36	1.30	Watch
	3.47	1.28	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (1.84)	1.38 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Villanueva
30.3%

Facundo Bagnis
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gonzalo Villanueva's form might have worsened.

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Bagnis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+21.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gonzalo Villanueva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Bagnis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gonzalo Villanueva - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Villanueva is ranked ATP: 347. Bagnis is ranked ATP: 468.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bagnis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Villanueva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Villanueva - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Facundo Bagnis - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Facundo Juarez	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Samir Banerjee - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLW
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Facundo Bagnis - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Andrea Collarini - Facundo Bagnis	Bagnis F. walkover ✺
16.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Facundo Bagnis - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Facundo Bagnis - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 L?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.04.25	Facundo Bagnis - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0
09.11.21	Facundo Bagnis - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0

Gonzalo Villanueva - Facundo Bagnis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide