Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Itajai 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday


	Alex Barrena		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.33	3.05	Watch
	1.26	3.45	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.09	Watch
	1.41	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)	3.1 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
69.9%

Gonzalo Villanueva
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Barrena will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Barrena will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 188. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 344.

In recent matches, Villanueva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Villanueva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrena will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Barrena - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Tristan Boyer - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Alex Barrena - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Alex Barrena - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Alex Barrena - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
12.01.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Nicolas Zanellato - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Alex Barrena	0:2
16.09.25	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0
29.09.24	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2
ITF Tournaments
15.02.24	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2

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