Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Gonzalo Villanueva		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.90
	1.85	1.85
	1.78	2.04
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.76	2	Watch
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.91)	1.92 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Villanueva
51.7%

Jozef Kovalik
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Gonzalo Villanueva - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Villanueva is ranked ATP: 355. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 780.

Villanueva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Kovalik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kovalik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Villanueva - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.52%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Jozef Kovalik - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.48%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
28.06.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
27.06.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Matias Soto - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Nicolas Villalon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- Jozef Kovalik
ITF Tournaments
19.06.26	Jozef Kovalik - Dimitar Kuzmanov	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Jozef Kovalik - Piotr Galus	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Javier Barranco Cosano - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.05.26	Andrej Martin - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Jozef Kovalik - Federico Bondioli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL

Gonzalo Villanueva - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide