Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Piracicaba, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday


	Gonzalo Villanueva		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.50	2.69
	1.49	2.43	Watch
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.61)	2.56 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Villanueva
63.5%

Valerio Aboian
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gonzalo Villanueva's performance.

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valerio Aboian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gonzalo Villanueva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valerio Aboian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gonzalo Villanueva - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Villanueva is ranked ATP: 397. Aboian is ranked ATP: 464.

Villanueva is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aboian has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aboian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villanueva could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villanueva won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Villanueva - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.44%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
26.06.26	Matias Soto - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Nicolas Villalon	2:1 ✺
18.06.26	Juan Estevez - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
26.06.26	Valerio Aboian - Hernan Casanova	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Valerio Aboian - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Thiago Cigarran - Valerio Aboian	Canceled ✺
14.05.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
13.05.26	Valerio Aboian - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Valerio Aboian	2:1
08.10.24	Valerio Aboian - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2
02.07.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Valerio Aboian	0:2
06.01.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Valerio Aboian	2:1

Gonzalo Villanueva - Valerio Aboian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide