Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2023, Thursday


	Gregoire Barrere		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.25	1.65
	2.3	1.63
	2.39	1.64
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.32	1.61	Watch
	2.24	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.97)	1.63 ↓ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gregoire Barrere
41.4%

Roman Safiullin
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gregoire Barrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gregoire Barrere's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gregoire Barrere, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Gregoire Barrere - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: Roman Safiullin will win (32 of 40 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.6% – 92.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrere is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Safiullin is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Safiullin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barrere won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Quentin Halys - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.23	Gregoire Barrere - Jack Sock	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
22.02.23	Alexander Bublik - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
21.02.23	Gregoire Barrere - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
16.02.23	Gregoire Barrere - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Miami
21.03.23	Roman Safiullin - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
20.03.23	Roman Safiullin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.03.23	Roman Safiullin - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
16.03.23	Roman Safiullin - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.23	Ilya Ivashka - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.03.19	Gregoire Barrere - Roman Safiullin	2:0

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