Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2023, Monday


	Roman Safiullin		Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.65
	1.41	2.85
	1.43	2.8
	1.43	2.9
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)	2.78 ↓ (3.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roman Safiullin
66.2%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Roman Safiullin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Predictions

Users Predictions: Roman Safiullin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Safiullin is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Moreno De Alboran is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moreno De Alboran could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Safiullin is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
17.03.23	Roman Safiullin - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
16.03.23	Roman Safiullin - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.23	Ilya Ivashka - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.23	Pavel Kotov - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
22.02.23	Arthur Fils - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
22.02.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Max Purcell	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
17.02.23	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWW

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