Match Info

Date: 1 October 2020, Thursday


	Guido Pella		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	3.75	1.28	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.85	1.27	Watch
	3.65	1.26
	4.07	1.28
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.25	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.66)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Pella
24.6%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

73.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Pella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Pella than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guido Pella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guido Pella - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Pella
ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	Guido Pella - Salvatore Caruso	3:1 ✺
ATP Roma
15.09.20	Guido Pella - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
10.09.20	Feliciano Lopez - Guido Pella	2:1 ✺
08.09.20	Yoshihito Nishioka - Guido Pella	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.20	Guido Pella - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	John Millman - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
16.09.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Rafael Nadal	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
11.09.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alexander Zverev	2:3 ✺
08.09.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov	3:2 ✺
06.09.20	Novak Djokovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Carreno-Busta P. awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WLLW?

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
22.11.19	Guido Pella - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1
ATP US Open
26.08.19	Guido Pella - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:3
ATP Vienna
24.10.17	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Guido Pella	2:0

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