Match Info

Date: 16 September 2020, Wednesday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Rafael Nadal

	1	2
	11	1.05	Watch
	9.25	1.05
	12.5	1.05	Watch
	8.4	1.04
	11.97	1.06
	10	1.05	Watch
	10.75	1.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.55 ↑ (10.05)	1.05 ↓ (1.05)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
9.1%

Rafael Nadal
90.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.5%

90.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Rafael Nadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Rafael Nadal Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Nadal will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nadal has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nadal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carreno Busta is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nadal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP US Open
11.09.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alexander Zverev	2:3 ✺
08.09.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov	3:2 ✺
06.09.20	Novak Djokovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Carreno-Busta P. awarded ✺
04.09.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Richard Berankis	3:0 ✺
02.09.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Mitchell Krueger	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LW?WW
- Rafael Nadal
ATP Acapulco
29.02.20	Rafael Nadal - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
28.02.20	Rafael Nadal - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
27.02.20	Rafael Nadal - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
26.02.20	Rafael Nadal - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
25.02.20	Rafael Nadal - Pablo Andujar-Alba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
24.01.20	Rafael Nadal - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0
ATP Roland Garros
07.06.17	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Rafael Nadal	Carreno-Busta P. retired
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.16	Rafael Nadal - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0
ATP Doha
05.01.16	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Rafael Nadal	1:2
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.15	Rafael Nadal - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0

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