Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Gustavo Heide		Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.32	3.1
	1.3	3.6
	1.28	3.36	Watch
			Watch
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.58)	3.11 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
69.8%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gustavo Heide's performance.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gustavo Heide that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Gustavo Heide - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Heide (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gustavo Heide will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gustavo Heide will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Heide (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Heide is ranked ATP: 341. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 202.

Heide is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pacheco Mendez's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pacheco Mendez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Heide will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Heide will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ITF Tournaments
02.11.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Gustavo Heide - Julian Cundom	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Rafael Tosetto - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

Gustavo Heide - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide