Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday


	Gonzalo Villanueva		Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.19	1.7
	2.09	1.66	Watch
			Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.66	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.66)	1.64 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Villanueva
42.9%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gonzalo Villanueva's performance.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gonzalo Villanueva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Gonzalo Villanueva - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Villanueva will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villanueva: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Villanueva (votes: 7 - 70%). Pacheco Mendez (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Villanueva (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Villanueva (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Pacheco Mendez (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Villanueva is ranked ATP: 344. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 202.

Villanueva has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pacheco Mendez is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pacheco Mendez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pacheco Mendez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Villanueva - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Gonzalo Villanueva	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Timofey Skatov - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Carlos Taberner - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL
- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
13.10.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

Gonzalo Villanueva - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide