Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday


	Gustavo Heide		Thiago Seyboth Wild

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.42	1.64
	2.4	1.56	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.1)	1.54 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gustavo Heide
38.5%

Thiago Seyboth Wild
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gustavo Heide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gustavo Heide's form might have worsened.

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Seyboth Wild's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gustavo Heide, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Seyboth Wild, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Gustavo Heide - Thiago Seyboth Wild Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Heide will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Seyboth Wild will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seyboth Wild: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Heide is ranked ATP: 162. Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 75.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Heide could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Seyboth Wild will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gustavo Heide
ATP Santiago
23.02.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.25	Gustavo Heide - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLL
- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.25	Jaume Munar - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
02.02.25	Ugo Humbert - Thiago Seyboth Wild	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWW?

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