Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday


	Guy Den Ouden		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.90	1.38
	2.76	1.51
	2.57	1.45	Watch
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.78)	1.45 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
35.3%

Emilio Nava
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Guy Den Ouden - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Den Ouden will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Nava will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 211. Nava is ranked ATP: 94.

Recent performances by Den Ouden have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nava is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nava will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Nava will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Den Ouden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Matej Dodig - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
01.06.26	Pavel Kotov - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Guy Den Ouden - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Guy Den Ouden - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Marko Topo - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Max Houkes - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Emilio Nava - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:3 ✺
22.05.26	Emilio Nava - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Emilio Nava - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.06.25	Guy Den Ouden - Emilio Nava	2:0

Guy Den Ouden - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide