Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Emilio Nava		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.44	2.63
	1.45	2.55
	1.48	2.74
	1.46	2.58	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.49	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)	2.63 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
64.3%

Pedro Martinez Portero
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emilio Nava's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emilio Nava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Emilio Nava - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Nava (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Martinez Portero (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nava (votes: 1 - 50%). Martinez Portero (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nava is ranked ATP: 97. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 141.

Nava is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Martinez Portero has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nava could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Emilio Nava - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.33%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Emilio Nava - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Emilio Nava - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.26	Laslo Djere - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
15.05.26	Jaime Faria - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Arthur Fery - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Emilio Nava	2:0
07.09.21	Emilio Nava - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2

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