Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Dobrich 2 (Bulgaria), clay - Final

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday


	Guy Den Ouden		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.62	2.37
	1.62	2.36	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)	2.2 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
57.4%

Jelle Sels
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Guy Den Ouden - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: Guy Den Ouden will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 341. Sels is ranked ATP: 361.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Den Ouden could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Den Ouden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
13.09.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Guy Den Ouden - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Liam Draxl - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Guy Den Ouden - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Guy Den Ouden - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
13.09.24	Jakub Nicod - Jelle Sels	Nicod J. retired ✺
13.09.24	Jelle Sels - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	Jelle Sels - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
09.09.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Jelle Sels - Valerio Aboian	Aboian V. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 ?WWW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.06.24	Jelle Sels - Guy Den Ouden	0:2

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