Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KOBLENZ (GERMANY) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Guy Den Ouden		Louis Wessels

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.37	2.84
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.34	3.13	Watch
	1.44	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.62)	2.75 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
66.2%

Louis Wessels
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guy Den Ouden's performance.

Louis Wessels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louis Wessels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guy Den Ouden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louis Wessels than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louis Wessels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Den Ouden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Den Ouden will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
23.01.24	Adrian Andreev - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
22.01.24	Guy Den Ouden - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
18.01.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
16.01.24	Guy Den Ouden - Antoine Escoffier	2:0 ✺
15.01.24	August Holmgren - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW
- Louis Wessels
ITF Tournaments
25.01.24	Max Hans Rehberg - Louis Wessels	2:0 ✺
24.01.24	Maurus Malgiaritta - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
04.01.24	Louis Wessels - Kylian Collignon	1:2 ✺
03.01.24	Louis Wessels - Simon Beaupain	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.11.23	Matteo Martineau - Louis Wessels	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLW?

Guy Den Ouden - Louis Wessels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide