Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Max Houkes		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9	Watch
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	1.82	1.92	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
	1.95	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.96)	1.84 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
49.5%

Giovanni Fonio
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Max Houkes - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 276. Fonio is ranked ATP: 381.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Houkes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
08.03.25	Max Houkes - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Max Houkes - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
03.03.25	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL
- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Giovanni Fonio - Rudolf Molleker	Molleker R. retired ✺
24.02.25	Giovanni Fonio - Dino Prizmic	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Marat Sharipov - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.02.25	Dan Added - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 L?LWL

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