Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Hamad Medjedovic		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.37	1.64
	2.26	1.61	Watch
			Watch
	2.29	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.8)	1.62 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamad Medjedovic
41.4%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamad Medjedovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamad Medjedovic's performance.

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamad Medjedovic than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamad Medjedovic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Hamad Medjedovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Medjedovic will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Rune will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medjedovic: 62.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Medjedovic (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +3 Games - Medjedovic (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 Games - Rune (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hamad Medjedovic will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Medjedovic (votes: 9 - 90%). Rune (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Medjedovic is ranked ATP: 66. Rune is ranked ATP: 11.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rune may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rune will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Medjedovic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.47%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamad Medjedovic
Davis Cup World Group I
13.09.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Ergi Kirkin	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Yanki Erel	Erel Y. retired ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Hamad Medjedovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Gabriel Diallo - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 ??LLW
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Laver Cup
20.09.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.25	Jaume Munar - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 L?WLW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
31.01.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2

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