Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 ARCADIA, CA (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 4 January 2024, Thursday


	Hanna Chang		Ellie Douglas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.53	2.34
	1.5	2.46
	1.51	2.47
	1.53	2.38
	1.49	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.36)	2.4 ↓ (2.8)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanna Chang
61.3%

Ellie Douglas
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanna Chang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hanna Chang's form might have worsened.

Ellie Douglas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ellie Douglas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanna Chang than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hanna Chang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ellie Douglas than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ellie Douglas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Chang is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Douglas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Douglas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chang will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Chang won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanna Chang
ITF Tournaments
02.01.24	Hanna Chang - Stephanie Judith Visscher	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Hanna Chang - Victoria Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
01.12.23	Jia-Jing Lu - Hanna Chang	Lu J. retired ✺
30.11.23	Hanna Chang - Katarina Jokic	2:0 ✺
29.11.23	Hanna Chang - Cadence Brace	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WW?WW
- Ellie Douglas
ITF Tournaments
03.01.24	Ellie Douglas - Megan McCray	2:0 ✺
28.11.23	Hanna Chang - Ellie Douglas	2:0 ✺
17.11.23	Ellie Douglas - Hanna Chang	0:2 ✺
16.11.23	Grace Min - Ellie Douglas	0:2 ✺
14.11.23	Jiangxue Han - Ellie Douglas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.11.23	Hanna Chang - Ellie Douglas	2:0
17.11.23	Ellie Douglas - Hanna Chang	0:2
ATP Challenger
26.07.21	Hanna Chang - Ellie Douglas	2:0

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