Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Hanne Van De Winkel		Karolina Pliskova

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.87	1.89
	1.93	1.97
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.95	1.8
	2.01	1.82	Watch
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.77)	1.89 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanne Van De Winkel
49.6%

Karolina Pliskova
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanne Van De Winkel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Karolina Pliskova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanne Van De Winkel than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Pliskova than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Hanne Van De Winkel - Karolina Pliskova Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Van De Winkel will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Pliskova will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pliskova: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pliskova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van De Winkel is ranked WTA: 93. Pliskova is ranked WTA: 66.

Van De Winkel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pliskova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanne Van De Winkel
WTA Cincinnati
14.08.26	Xin Yu Wang - Hanne Van De Winkel	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Akasha Urhobo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Anastasia Zakharova	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW
- Karolina Pliskova
WTA Cincinnati
14.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
05.08.26	Mirra Andreeva - Karolina Pliskova	2:0 ✺
03.08.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Karolina Pliskova	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.26	Karolina Pliskova - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Tereza Valentova - Karolina Pliskova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW

Hanne Van De Winkel - Karolina Pliskova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide