Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - Final

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Hanyu Guo		Alina Charaeva

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.83	1.88	Watch
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.67)	1.88 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanyu Guo
50.6%

Alina Charaeva
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanyu Guo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hanyu Guo's form might have worsened.

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alina Charaeva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanyu Guo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hanyu Guo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alina Charaeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hanyu Guo - Alina Charaeva Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Charaeva will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guo is ranked WTA: 186. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 163.

In recent matches, Guo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Charaeva is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanyu Guo
WTA Merida
21.02.26	Miriana Tona - Hanyu Guo	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Mary Stoiana - Hanyu Guo	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Elvina Kalieva - Hanyu Guo	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Katarina Jokic - Hanyu Guo	Jokic K. retired ✺
17.02.26	Hanyu Guo - Louisa Chirico	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 ?WW?W
- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Darja Vidmanova	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Nao Hibino	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Shilin Xu	2:0 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
31.01.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWL

Hanyu Guo - Alina Charaeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide