Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Harold Mayot		Edas Butvilas

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	1.75	2.11
	1.75	2.03	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.79	1.94	Watch
	1.79	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.43)	1.96 ↓ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harold Mayot
52.5%

Edas Butvilas
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harold Mayot's form might have worsened.

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edas Butvilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harold Mayot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edas Butvilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Harold Mayot - Edas Butvilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Mayot will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Butvilas will win (votes: 22 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Butvilas: 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mayot is ranked ATP: 133. Butvilas is ranked ATP: 234.

Recent matches Mayot is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Butvilas is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mayot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mayot will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Harold Mayot - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
19.02.25	Patrick Zahraj - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
17.02.25	Jie Cui - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
12.02.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
03.02.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
09.03.25	Edas Butvilas - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Zsombor Piros - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Edas Butvilas - Henry Searle	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Edas Butvilas - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Edas Butvilas - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Harold Mayot - Edas Butvilas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide