Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam (Netherlands), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 February 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.26	3.7
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.35	3.4
	1.31	3.39	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.32	3.42	Watch
	1.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.31)	3.44 ↓ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
72.4%

Harold Mayot
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 13. Mayot is ranked ATP: 130.

Tsitsipas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mayot is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tsitsipas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tsitsipas is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alex Michelsen	1:3 ✺
ATP United Cup
29.12.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
28.12.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
Exhibition World Tennis League
21.12.24	Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:0 ✺
20.12.24	Sumit Nagal - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWL?
- Harold Mayot
ATP Rotterdam
02.02.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Michael Vrbensky - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
28.01.25	Harold Mayot - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Benoit Paire - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
05.01.25	Harold Mayot - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL

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