Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Toulouse-Balma (France), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Harry Wendelken		Egor Gerasimov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.26	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)	1.61 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harry Wendelken
42.2%

Egor Gerasimov
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harry Wendelken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Egor Gerasimov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Harry Wendelken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Egor Gerasimov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Harry Wendelken - Egor Gerasimov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wendelken is ranked ATP: 632. Gerasimov is ranked ATP: 394.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Wendelken could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gerasimov will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Gerasimov to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Egor Gerasimov - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harry Wendelken
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Harry Wendelken - Raphael Perot	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Antoine Escoffier - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Harry Wendelken - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Harry Wendelken - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW
- Egor Gerasimov
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Axel Garcian - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	David Poljak - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Julien Dando - Egor Gerasimov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Egor Gerasimov - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
10.03.25	Egor Gerasimov - Naoya Honda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW

Harry Wendelken - Egor Gerasimov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide