Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Edgbaston (United Kingdom), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday


	Harry Wendelken		Federico Bondioli

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.61	2.14
	1.66	2.17
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.4)	2.14 ↓ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harry Wendelken
56.7%

Federico Bondioli
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harry Wendelken's form might have worsened.

Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Bondioli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harry Wendelken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Bondioli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Wendelken is ranked ATP: 751. Bondioli is ranked ATP: 684.

Wendelken is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bondioli is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bondioli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wendelken will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harry Wendelken
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Hamish Stewart - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
16.10.24	Harry Wendelken - Luke Simkiss	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Marcus Walters - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Harry Wendelken - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Zdenek Kolar - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLW
- Federico Bondioli
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Federico Bondioli - James Story	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Federico Bondioli - Paul Valsecchi	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Federico Bondioli - Michael Shaw	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.24	Elmer Moeller - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.09.24	Giovanni Oradini - Federico Bondioli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL

Harry Wendelken - Federico Bondioli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide