Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday


	Harry Wendelken		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.04	1.7
	2.85	1.47
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.69	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.07)	1.46 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harry Wendelken
35.8%

Mark Lajal
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harry Wendelken's form might have worsened.

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mark Lajal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harry Wendelken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mark Lajal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Harry Wendelken - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wendelken will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lajal will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wendelken is ranked ATP: 227. Lajal is ranked ATP: 157.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Harry Wendelken - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.87%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.13%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harry Wendelken
ATP Challenger
02.06.26	James Watt - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Luka Pavlovic - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Marco Cecchinato - Harry Wendelken	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Harry Wendelken - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Harry Wendelken - Sergey Fomin	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLL?
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Mark Lajal - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Mark Lajal - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.05.26	Mark Lajal - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Mark Lajal - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Mark Lajal - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWW

Harry Wendelken - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide