Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuxi, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Mark Lajal		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.3	Watch
	1.56	2.58
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (2.02)	2.4 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
61%

Dane Sweeny
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mark Lajal's performance.

Dane Sweeny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dane Sweeny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Lajal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dane Sweeny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mark Lajal - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 158. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 135.

Lajal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sweeny has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lajal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lajal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.84%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
06.05.26	Mark Lajal - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Mark Lajal - Renta Tokuda	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Mark Lajal - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Mark Lajal - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Mark Lajal - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
06.05.26	Andre Ilagan - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Rigele Te - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Alexis Galarneau - Dane Sweeny	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Dane Sweeny - James McCabe	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Dane Sweeny - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW

Mark Lajal - Dane Sweeny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide