Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Harry Wendelken		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.60	2.25
	1.61	2.26
	1.65	2.39
	1.54	2.34	Watch
	1.61	2.2
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.51)	2.28 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harry Wendelken
58.8%

Stefano Travaglia
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Harry Wendelken - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wendelken is ranked ATP: 203. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 140.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Wendelken may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wendelken could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Harry Wendelken - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 61.44%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Stefano Travaglia - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.56%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harry Wendelken
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Stefan Kozlov - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
11.08.26	Harry Wendelken - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Harry Wendelken - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Harry Wendelken - Keegan Rice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLL
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Stefano Travaglia - Nicolas Kicker	Travaglia S. Retired ✺
04.08.26	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.26	Daniel Vallejo - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Stefano Travaglia - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 ?LLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Stefano Travaglia - Otto Virtanen	✺

Harry Wendelken - Stefano Travaglia