Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Stefano Travaglia		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.73	2.00	Watch
	1.80	1.91
	1.81	1.95
	1.84	2.09
	1.81	1.89	Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.78	1.90	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.72)	1.95 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
52.2%

Matej Dodig
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stefano Travaglia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matej Dodig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Travaglia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dodig will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Travaglia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 140. Dodig is ranked ATP: 257.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Dodig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Travaglia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.75%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.26	Daniel Vallejo - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Stefano Travaglia - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Stefano Travaglia - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.06.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLWWL
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Matej Dodig - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Matej Dodig - Jannik Opitz	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
14.07.26	Matej Dodig - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Matej Dodig - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Matej Dodig - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.03.26	Matej Dodig - Stefano Travaglia	0:2
17.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:1
23.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:0

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