Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Ourense (Spain), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday


	Haruka Kaji		Malene Helgo

	1	2
	1.44	2.55
	1.48	2.4
	1.45	2.69
	1.49	2.43	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.49	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.66)	2.53 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
63.4%

Malene Helgo
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haruka Kaji's performance.

Malene Helgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malene Helgo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haruka Kaji that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malene Helgo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malene Helgo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Haruka Kaji - Malene Helgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 298. Helgo is ranked WTA: 478.

Kaji is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Helgo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kaji could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kaji will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
16.08.24	Martyna Kubka - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
15.08.24	Misaki Matsuda - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Madhurima Sawant - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	Sonay Kartal - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Haruka Kaji - Saki Imamura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW
- Malene Helgo
ITF Tournaments
16.08.24	Anastasia Kulikova - Malene Helgo	0:2 ✺
15.08.24	Malene Helgo - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Matilde Jorge - Malene Helgo	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Amelia Bissett - Malene Helgo	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Malene Helgo - Ava Hrastar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLL

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