Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Matthew Dellavedova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.43	2.77
	1.49	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)	2.6 ↑ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
64.1%

Matthew Dellavedova
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Matthew Dellavedova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Dellavedova than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Hayato Matsuoka - Matthew Dellavedova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dellavedova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 410. Dellavedova is ranked ATP: 519.

Matsuoka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dellavedova's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Matsuoka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Matsuoka might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Matthew Dellavedova - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
24.01.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Uisung Park	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Marek Gengel - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Fajing Sun	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Thanapet Chanta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW
- Matthew Dellavedova
ATP Challenger
24.01.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Matthew Dellavedova	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Marek Gengel - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Andre Ilagan - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Matthew Dellavedova - Carl Emil Overbeck	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL

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