Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Henri Squire		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	1.6	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.84)	2.27 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henri Squire
58.9%

Daniel Rincon
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henri Squire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henri Squire's performance.

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Rincon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henri Squire that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Rincon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Henri Squire - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Squire (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Squire (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Squire (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Squire is ranked ATP: 329. Rincon is ranked ATP: 203.

Squire is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rincon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Squire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Squire won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Henri Squire - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.91%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Sergi Fita Juan - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Henri Squire - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Henri Squire - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Dusan Lajovic - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Franco Agamenone - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Jack Loge - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Franco Agamenone - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.02.23	Daniel Rincon - Henri Squire	0:2

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