Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Christoph Negritu		Henri Squire

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	3.08	1.36
	2.99	1.33	Watch
	3.01	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.2)	1.35 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christoph Negritu
30.8%

Henri Squire
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christoph Negritu's form might have worsened.

Henri Squire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henri Squire's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christoph Negritu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henri Squire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Christoph Negritu - Henri Squire Predictions

Users Predictions: Henri Squire will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Henri Squire will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Negritu is ranked ATP: 318. Squire is ranked ATP: 329.

Negritu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Squire is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Negritu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Squire is the team to beat.

We predict that Squire will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Christoph Negritu - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.71%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christoph Negritu
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Christoph Negritu - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Christoph Negritu - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Christoph Negritu - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
22.09.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Tiago Torres - Christoph Negritu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWW
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Sergi Fita Juan - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Henri Squire - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Henri Squire - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Henri Squire - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Christoph Negritu - Henri Squire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide