Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Henri Squire		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.37	Watch
	2.72	1.48
	2.27	1.57	Watch
	2.7	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.25)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henri Squire
35.5%

Marco Trungelliti
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henri Squire's form might have worsened.

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Trungelliti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henri Squire, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Henri Squire - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Trungelliti (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Squire (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Squire (votes: 1 - 50%). Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Squire is ranked ATP: 331. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 143.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Squire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trungelliti could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Trungelliti will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Henri Squire - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.24%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Thiago Monteiro - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Henri Squire - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Henri Squire - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Henri Squire - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Francesco Passaro - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Tiago Pereira - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Mili Poljicak	Poljicak M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWW?

Henri Squire - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide