Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Henri Squire		Zsombor Piros

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.03	1.72	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.01	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.3)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henri Squire
45.5%

Zsombor Piros
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henri Squire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henri Squire's performance.

Zsombor Piros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zsombor Piros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henri Squire that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zsombor Piros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Henri Squire - Zsombor Piros Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Squire will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Piros will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Squire (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Piros (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Squire (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Squire (votes: 2 - 50%). Piros (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Squire is ranked ATP: 248. Piros is ranked ATP: 178.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Squire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Squire won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Zsombor Piros - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.84%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Felix Balshaw - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Henri Squire - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Giulio Zeppieri - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Moise Kouame - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWW
- Zsombor Piros
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Zsombor Piros - Ethan Quinn	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Zsombor Piros - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	August Holmgren - Zsombor Piros	Canceled ✺
25.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Zsombor Piros	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 ?L?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.07.23	Zsombor Piros - Henri Squire	1:2

Henri Squire - Zsombor Piros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide