Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Benjamin Bonzi		Henri Squire

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.46	2.88
	1.22	3.87	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.42	2.66	Watch
	1.47	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.58)	2.88 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
67.3%

Henri Squire
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benjamin Bonzi's performance.

Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Henri Squire might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Benjamin Bonzi - Henri Squire Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 131. Squire is ranked ATP: 282.

Bonzi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Squire is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Squire may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bonzi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bonzi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.7%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Bouquier	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Billy Harris - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Henri Squire - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Giulio Zeppieri - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Moise Kouame - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
09.02.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.04.24	Henri Squire - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2

Benjamin Bonzi - Henri Squire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide