Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 5 (Portugal), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oeiras 5 (Portugal) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard


	Henrique Rocha		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.65	1.42
	2.67	1.49
	2.59	1.46	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.37)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
35.3%

Mark Lajal
64.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Henrique Rocha - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Lajal will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 174. Lajal is ranked ATP: 235.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rocha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lajal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rocha won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
16.01.25	Henrique Rocha - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
15.01.25	Henrique Rocha - Robin Bertrand	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Henrique Rocha - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Marton Fucsovics - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Henri Squire - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLWW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Mark Lajal - Cleeve Harper	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Mark Lajal - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	Ovcharenko O. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
07.01.25	Mark Lajal - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Henrique Rocha - Mark Lajal	0:2

Henrique Rocha - Mark Lajal