Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sumter, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday


	Mark Lajal		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
			Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.64	2.36
	2.21	1.62	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)	2.07 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
53.9%

Jaime Faria
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 150. Faria is ranked ATP: 124.

Recent performances by Lajal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Faria has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Faria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lajal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mark Lajal - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Mark Lajal - Strong Kirchheimer	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Arthur Cazaux - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Lloyd Harris - Mark Lajal	Lajal M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WW?L?
- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Kaylan Bigun - Jaime Faria	Bigun K. retired ✺
12.08.25	Hady Habib - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria	Canceled ✺
28.07.25	Jaime Faria - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.25	Jaime Faria - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?W?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria	Canceled
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria	1:2

Mark Lajal - Jaime Faria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide