Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2 (Portugal), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday


	Henrique Rocha		Robin Bertrand

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.54	2.31	Watch
	1.59	2.27	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.54	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.15)	2.31 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
59.8%

Robin Bertrand
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.

Robin Bertrand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Robin Bertrand might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robin Bertrand than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Robin Bertrand could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Henrique Rocha - Robin Bertrand Predictions

Users Predictions: Henrique Rocha will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 174. Bertrand is ranked ATP: 266.

Rocha is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bertrand is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bertrand could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.01%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Henrique Rocha - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Marton Fucsovics - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Henri Squire - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
26.11.24	Anton Matusevich - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWWW
- Robin Bertrand
ATP Challenger
13.01.25	Robin Bertrand - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Robin Bertrand - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
06.01.25	Robin Bertrand - Karue Sell	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.11.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Gian Marco Ortenzi - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW

Henrique Rocha - Robin Bertrand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide