Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sumter, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Henrique Rocha		Martin Damm

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.95	1.88
	1.96	1.81	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.68)	1.83 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
49%

Martin Damm
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henrique Rocha's form might have worsened.

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martin Damm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martin Damm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Henrique Rocha - Martin Damm Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Damm will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damm: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Martin Damm will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 171. Damm is ranked ATP: 435.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rocha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.39%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Henrique Rocha - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Henrique Rocha - Henry Searle	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
19.07.25	Facundo Bagnis - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
12.07.25	Patrick Zahraj - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL
- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Martin Damm - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Martin Damm - Jesse Flores	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Giles Hussey - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Aidan Mayo - Martin Damm	Damm M. retired ✺
27.07.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.02.23	Martin Damm - Henrique Rocha	2:1

Henrique Rocha - Martin Damm: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide