Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday


	Henrique Rocha		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.73	1.99
	1.86	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	2.1	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.7)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
51.4%

Alejandro Moro Canas
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 Games - Moro Canas (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alejandro Moro Canas will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alejandro Moro Canas will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Moro Canas (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 158. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 246.

Recent form of Rocha has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Moro Canas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rocha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.5%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Henrique Rocha - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Ugo Blanchet - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Vilius Gaubas - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dmitrii Vasilev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Henrique Rocha	2:0
08.02.25	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2

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