Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Henrique Rocha		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.31	1.7
	2.09	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.03	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.71)	1.68 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
44.2%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henrique Rocha's form might have worsened.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Llamas Ruiz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Llamas Ruiz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Llamas Ruiz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 126. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 151.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Llamas Ruiz will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rocha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Pablo Llamas Ruiz - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.84%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Henrique Rocha - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.09.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Henrique Rocha	0:2
23.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1

Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide