Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday


	Henrique Rocha		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.61	2.5
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)	2.32 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
59.7%

Rei Sakamoto
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Henrique Rocha - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: Henrique Rocha will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 126. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 161.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rocha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.62%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Henrique Rocha - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Henrique Rocha - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Borna Gojo - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
08.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Amine Jamji - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 ?LWLW

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