Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia (Portugal), clay (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.31	1.55	Watch
	2.31	1.63
	2.2	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.33	1.56	Watch
	2.31	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.75)	1.57 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
40.7%

Henrique Rocha
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Alvarez Varona's performance.

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Henrique Rocha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Alvarez Varona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henrique Rocha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Rocha will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rocha: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 382. Rocha is ranked ATP: 173.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Alvarez Varona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rocha will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarez Varona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
26.11.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
25.11.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Joao Dinis Silva	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	David Pichler - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
11.11.24	Alexis Gautier - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWL?
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
26.11.24	Anton Matusevich - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
26.11.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Henrique Rocha	Canceled ✺
12.11.24	Henrique Rocha - Orlando Luz	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Elmer Moller - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Henrique Rocha - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.06.24	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide